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FiveThirtyEight

@fivethirtyeight

Data-driven news and analysis from @ABC News’s 538.

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linkhttp://www.abcnews.com/538 calendar_today21-01-2014 21:39:32

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.@fivethirtyeight's Nathaniel Rakich from Chicago: "There's no question that Kamala Harris has had a great three to four weeks ... she has a great opportunity here with the DNC to maintain her message and keep going up in the polls, but it's definitely not a guarantee."

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Thousands of delegates have descended on Chicago this week for the Democratic National Convention. But who are these delegates and what role do they play in the presidential election process? FiveThirtyEight's Nathaniel Rakich breaks down what you need to know.

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Amid the DNC, we look at how Kamala Harris' support among Black and Hispanic voters, young voters, women, men and non-college-educated white voters compares with Joe Biden. trib.al/9GOWNH9

Amid the DNC, we look at how Kamala Harris' support among Black and Hispanic voters, young voters, women, men and non-college-educated white voters compares with Joe Biden. trib.al/9GOWNH9
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On day three of the DNC, Democrats will try to match the energy after the Obamas “brought down the house” on Tuesday night, FiveThirtyEight’s Nathaniel Rakich says. The big speakers of the night will be former Pres. Bill Clinton and Gov. Tim Walz. trib.al/YvlPCia

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🎧 LISTEN: The crew reacts to night two of the Democratic National Convention, including the big speeches from Michelle and Barack Obama. trib.al/fz3wkSj

Galen Druke (@galendruke) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Cat ladies… freedom… joy… Walz… Oprah… a never ending Clinton speech… and the 2032 primary. We’ve got it all on the late night podcast with Ruth Igielnik & Nathaniel Rakich. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fiv…

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IT ALL COMES DOWN TO THIS: On the fourth and final day of the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, Kamala Harris will officially accept her party’s nomination for president. FiveThirtyEight's Nathaniel Rakich breaks down what you need to know.

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RFK Jr. plans to leave the 2024 race by the end of this week, sources tell ABC News. 538 Senior Elections Analyst Nathaniel Rakich discusses what this decision means for the polls. trib.al/Q1wvuY2

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RFK Jr.'s endorsement of Trump may marginally help the Republican among white, male, and older voters. But the effect of his departure on overall support for either candidate will be small. trib.al/JDQn5JL

RFK Jr.'s endorsement of Trump may marginally help the Republican among white, male, and older voters. But the effect of his departure on overall support for either candidate will be small. trib.al/JDQn5JL
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Since the early 1990s, Washington's primary vote for the U.S. House has been a fairly reliable indicator for the direction of national electoral swings while also closely aligning with the outcomes in Washington's individual congressional races. trib.al/GibWnd0

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Survey data and political science research tells us there are three big reasons why Trump’s remarks will likely hurt his presidential campaign. trib.al/0gvTTGi

Survey data and political science research tells us there are three big reasons why Trump’s remarks will likely hurt his presidential campaign.  trib.al/0gvTTGi
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.FiveThirtyEight looked at the issues voters trust Kamala Harris and the Democrats with more than they trust Donald Trump and the GOP with, and then analyzed how, and how often, speakers talked about those issues at the Democratic National Convention. trib.al/tgkGAUj

.<a href="/FiveThirtyEight/">FiveThirtyEight</a> looked at the issues voters trust Kamala Harris and the Democrats with more than they trust Donald Trump and the GOP with, and then analyzed how, and how often, speakers talked about those issues at the Democratic National Convention. trib.al/tgkGAUj
Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I've long been a believer that we're in an era of "strong partisanship, weak parties." But after the last couple months, I'm not so sure. My dispatch from the DNC: abcnews.go.com/538/democratic…

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Now that voters have gotten to know more about Harris and what she plans to do if elected president, how are they feeling about the nominee and her platform? See if you can guess what recent polls have found in our quiz. trib.al/SBun7It

Now that voters have gotten to know more about Harris and what she plans to do if elected president, how are they feeling about the nominee and her platform? 

See if you can guess what recent polls have found in our quiz. trib.al/SBun7It